Lot premium accuracy model

Every lot attribute priced against what your own buyers have already paid for it, in that community, in the last twelve months. The market has set the premium. The schedule has not been told.

$1.60M

Reference-scale value

Data sets in the model

8 weeks

Build and deploy

Derived

Evidence grade

The lot decides what it is worth. The schedule decides what you ask.

A walkout backing green space is worth what it is worth whether or not anybody prices it that way. That value exists in the ground and no dashboard creates it.

What a model changes is whether the schedule knows the number. Premium schedules get set at release and then survive the whole phase, because re-testing them is nobody's job.

So a hundred and thirteen lots a year go out carrying a premium-capable attribute at base price. Not discounted — never priced in the first place.

The evidence is already in your own records. These are your closings, your comparable lots, your last twelve months. We are not benchmarking you against another metro.

Cause 01

Premium-capable lots at base price

A hundred and thirteen lots a year carrying an attribute nobody priced, at $8,400 each. Handed to this model by the community siting quote.

Cause 02

Schedules that never move after release

Premiums set at release and carried unchanged through a phase the market re-priced underneath them.

Cause 03

Attribute pairs priced as one

A walkout on a green-space lot priced as a walkout. The second attribute goes free.

Cause 04

Premium waived at the table

Where the schedule and the negotiation disagree, the negotiation wins, and nobody counts how often.

Want more detail?

The rest of this model — the data sets it runs on, the cause split, the working behind the reference figure and a sample output — goes out by email. Two fields, nothing else.