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Enterprise · Decision models · Procurement · National account arbitrage
Route 02 · Enterprise · Procurement · Model 19 of 41

National account price arbitrage model

Every eligible purchase order priced three ways — what you paid, what your national agreement entitled you to, and what the local market was quoting that quarter. The agreement gets audited instead of assumed.
$1.2M
Reference-scale value
7
Data sets in the model
6 weeks
Build and deploy
Derived
Evidence grade
01

The decision this model makes

You negotiated national agreements because scale should buy a better price. Two things then happen that nobody checks. Divisions keep buying locally on product the agreement already covers. And on some lines the national price is worse than what the local distributor would have quoted this quarter.

Both failures are invisible for the same reason. The agreement is a document, the local quote is an email, and the purchase order records neither.

There is no report in the business that compares the price you paid to the price you had already negotiated, which means compliance is assumed and value is assumed with it.

The uncomfortable half of the number is the second one. A national agreement is assumed to be the floor, so nobody tests it, so the lines where it stopped being the floor stay unfound. An agreement nobody audits is a price nobody negotiated.

Cause 01
Off-agreement

Bought locally at a disadvantage on product an agreement already covers. The fastest of the four to fix — it is a purchasing instruction.

Cause 02
Price above market

On-agreement lines where the local distributor net is better. The line nobody checks, because the agreement is assumed to be the floor.

Cause 03
Freight terms

The agreement carries delivery terms the invoices do not reflect. Small, clean, and recoverable by an accounts-payable change.

Cause 04
Growth tier

The volume rebate attached to these agreements. Real money on the same base, credited to the rebate capture model.

02

Want more detail?

The rest of this model — the data sets it runs on, the cause split, the working behind the reference figure and a sample output — goes out by email. Two fields, nothing else.

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